Technical Analysis BTC/USDT (07/03/2025) - Combining Price Action & Indicators

Analysis based on 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W charts and technical tools EMA (7, 25, 99), MACD, Volume, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci Retracement.

1. Determine the Main Trend 1H Frame (Short-term - Intraday Trading) ✅ Current price: $89,883.75 ✅ EMA 7: 89,740.32 ( below price) → Short-term support ✅ EMA 25: 89,885.23 near the price ( → Price is currently testing the EMA 25 resistance ✅ EMA 99: 88,766.98 )below price( → Slight recovery trend but not clear 📌 Verdict: BTC is retesting the 25 EMA, if it can be crossed, it can continue to rise to 91,000. Otherwise, the possibility of turning around is 88,000.

4H Frame )Identify the main trend of the day( ✅ Current price: $89,883.75 ✅ EMA 7: 89,936.52 )gần giá( ✅ EMA 25: 88,870.03 ) below the price ( ✅ EMA 99: 90,315.92 )trên giá( 📌 Assessment: BTC is in a slight recovery trend but has not yet escaped from the EMA 99 resistance zone )~90,300(. If it surpasses this area with significant volume, it may test 92,000 again.

1D Frame )Medium term - Main trend( ✅ Current price: $89,883.75 ✅ EjsonMA 7: 89,313.63 )below price( → Good support ✅ EMA 25: 91,905.23 ) above price ( → Important resistance ✅ EMA 99: 92,932.63 )above price( → Long-term trend is still rising but correcting 📌 Analysis: BTC needs to break through 91,900 to confirm the medium-term uptrend. Otherwise, there is a possibility of the price being pushed down to the range of 88,000 - 85,000.

Frame 1W ) Long-term - Overall trend( ✅ Current price: $89,883.75 ✅ EMA 7: 94,667.25 ) above the price( → BTC is facing strong resistance ✅ EMA 25: 88,125.54 ) below (price → Strong support at 88,000 ✅ EMA 99: 63,142.41 ) far below the price ( 📌 Analysis: BTC is currently undergoing a correction after a strong surge. If the price closes the week below 90,000, the likelihood of a decline to 85,000 is quite high.

2. Identify Support & Resistance Areas Important support: 88,000 - 88,500: EMA 25 area on 1W, strong support 85,000 – 85,500: Fibonacci support 0.382 + previous strong buy zone 83,000: Support Fibonacci 0.5, if BTC drops deeply Critical Resistance: 91,000 - 91,500: Resistance EMA 25 on 1D 94,000 - 95,000: Resistance EMA 7 on 1W 97,000 - 100,000: Strong resistance, breakout could open up a new uptrend

3. Candlestick Pattern Analysis & Price Action ✅ 1H & 4H: Inside Bar around 89,500 → Need to wait for breakout to confirm direction. ✅ 1D: The previous Bearish Engulfing pattern is still valid → The selling side still has the upper hand. ✅ 1W: Shooting Star near 109,000 → Long-term selling pressure still exists. 📌 Analysis: BTC is currently trading sideways in the short term but still faces the risk of decline if it fails to hold above 88,000.

4. Technical Indicator Analysis ✅ MACD: 1H & 4H: Being in the negative zone but showing signs of convergence → A retracement wave may appear. 1D: MACD is still declining → There is no sign of reversal in the medium term trend. ✅ RSI: 1H: 45 → Neutral, not oversold or overbought. 4H: 48 → Currently in a balanced area, no clear signal yet. 1D: 42 → Near oversold territory, there may be a slight recovery but the uptrend is not confirmed yet. ✅ Bollinger Bands: 1H: The price is in the middle of the BB band → Sideways trend. 4H: The price is currently testing between BB, if it breaks through, it may go up to the upper boundary of )~92,000(. 1D: Price near lower BB → Could rebound to mid BB zone )~91,000(. 📌 Analysis: BTC may have a rebound but needs to surpass 91,000 to confirm further increase.

5. Trading Volume Analysis )Volume Profile( 1H & 4H Frame: Low volume as price tests EMA again → No strong money flow yet. 1D Frame: Volume shows signs of decreasing → The selling side is not really dominant, but the buying side has not returned either. 1W Frame: Large volume in the week of correction → Investors are taking profit after a strong rally. 📌 Opinion: If BTC has increased volume when crossing 91,000, it could be a strong reversal signal.

6. Proposed Trading Strategy ➡️ Scenario 1: BTC breaks the resistance at 91,000 🎯 Place a Long order: When the price closes a 4-hour candle above 91,000 with high volume. 📌 Entry: 91,500 ⛔ Stop Loss: 89,000 🎯 Take Profit: 94,000 - 97,000

➡️ Scenario 2: BTC drops to the support zone of 88,000 - 85,000 🎯 Enter Long order: If a reversal pattern such as Pin Bar, Engulfing appears. 📌 Entry: 85,500 - 86,000 ⛔ Stop Loss: 83,500 🎯 Take Profit: 90,000 - 92,000

➡️ Scenario 3: BTC loses support of 85,000 🎯 Enter Short order: If BTC closes 1D candle below 85,000 with large volume. 📌 Entry: 84,500 ⛔ Stop Loss: 87,000 🎯 Take Profit: 78,000 - 80,000

🎯 Conclusion BTC is currently in a correction phase with a significant support area around 88,000 - 85,000. Mid-term trend still tends to decline unless BTC exceeds 91,000. If lost 85,000, the price could go to 78,000 - 80,000. Volume has not confirmed a clear trend → Need to wait for more signals to enter the order for sure.