TheTime-TravellingShen
vip

According to the latest market data (updated at 08:00), combined with technical indicators and market sentiment, today's precise trading strategy for ETH is as follows:



### Key Technical Indicator Update
**Support Zone**
① Strong support 2,940-2,950 (Asian session consolidation center + MA30)
② Extreme Support 2,915 (Yesterday's Low + Liquidation Zone)

**Resistance Zone**
① Dynamic Pressure 2,970-2,980 (MA5+MA10 Convergence Zone)
② Strong resistance 3,000-3,010 (psychological barrier + this week's high)

### Intraday Precision Trading Strategy
mermaid
graph TD
B{direction judgment}
|Breakthrough 2,965| C1[Long signal: Target 2,985]
B -->|breaks below 2,945| C2[Short signal: target 2,920]
|fluctuating market| D[2,945-2,965 range operation]

E1[Stop Loss 2,955 | Leverage ≤ 5x]
E2[Stop Loss 2,955 | Leverage ≤ 5x]
F1[2,945 Long → Take Profit 2,960]
F2[2,965 short position → take profit 2,950]

### core operation recommendations (in order of priority)
1. **Asian盘主策略(当前-16:00)**
- Limit Order Buy: **2,945-2,950** (30% position)
- Stop Loss: **2,935** (strict)
- Target: **2,970** (First take profit 50%) → **2,985** (Full close)

2. **Breakthrough Strategy**
- Price breaks **2,970**: Long (20% position), target **2,990-3,000**
- Price breaks below **2,940**: short (15% position), target **2,920-2,915**

3. **European Market Hedging Strategy (after 16:00)**
If still oscillating in **2,950-2,965**:
- Short at the upper edge **2,965** (10% position) → Take profit at **2,950**
- Go long at the lower edge **2,950** (10% position) → Take profit at **2,965**

### key indicator change alert
- **Open Interest Decline**: 1.834 million ETH → Indicates capital outflow, beware of false breakouts
- **Long/Short Liquidation Ratio**: 479.39ETH (Long) vs 56.31ETH (Short) → **Longs are Weak**
- **Funding Rate -0.028%**: Short positions are dominant, but a negative value that is too large may trigger a short squeeze.

### Today's Special Risk Warning
1. **10:30 China CPI Data**: If higher than expected, it is beneficial for risk assets
2. **22:00 US PPI Data**: Commodity fluctuations may transmit to the crypto market
3. **Liquidation Heatmap**:
- Below **2,920** there is strong support at $12 million
- The upper level of **2,980** has a pressure of $9 million

### Position Management ($6000 principal)
| Strategy Type | Max Position | Stop Loss Percentage | Expected Profit | Risk Ratio |
|---------|---------|---------|---------|-------|
| Range Trading | $1800 | 0.3%($18) | 1.0%($60) | 1:3.3 |
| Breakthrough Follow-up Order | $1200 | 0.5%($30) | 1.5%($90) | 1:3 |
| Hedging Arbitrage | $600 | 0.2%($12) | 0.5%($30) | 1:2.5 |

> ⚠️ **Emergency Reminder**: The current 1-hour chart shows **volume-price divergence** (price is sideways but trading volume is increasing), the Asian session may suddenly choose a direction, suggestion:
> - Complete the first position before 09:30
> - Retain 50% cash waiting for the European market
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TheTime-TravellingShenvip
· 07-12 00:29
If you have any questions, feel free to leave a message.
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