At the beginning of 2023, one of my students got on board with a principal of $2000, when the market had just experienced the lows after the FTX collapse, with BTC hovering around $16,000. As a "quasi-newbie" with 2 years of observation experience but without a Heavy Position, I helped the student establish three principles:

1. Position Control: The principal is divided into 5 parts, 40% mainstream coins, 30% Layer 1 public chains, 20% leading projects in the track, 10% high-risk contracts.
2. Information Screening: Only track projects listed on Coinbase/Kraken and top VC investments.
3. Emotional Discipline: Stop loss immediately if the daily drop exceeds 15%, withdraw 50% of the profits. Phase One: Capture the market turning point (1 month). Key actions: - Build a Heavy Position in BTC at $16,500 with 40% of capital, and simultaneously build in ETH (ETH merge completed shortly before). - Identify the ARB airdrop expectation, invest 10% of funds to build at $1.20, sell at $2.40 (2x). - Participate in SUI IPO through Coinlist, cash out at 5 times on opening.
Result: Principal increased to 8000U, main earnings come from precise bottom fishing + new project bonuses. Phase Two: Betting on track rotation (1 month)
Market Changes: - BTC breaking through $25,000 triggers altcoin season, AI + crypto narrative rises - Key Layout: - 30% position to buy FET (0.18→0.45 USD) - 20% to chase RNDR (GPU computing concept, 1.2→2.8 USD) - Use profits to build a position in ORDI (first BRC20 token) at 0.3 USD, selling at 1.2 USD
Risk Control Event: - Due to the sudden surge of LUNC, a 20% loss occurred within 5 minutes, and the stop-loss discipline was immediately executed. Result: The account exceeded 20,000 U, and the track rotation strategy took effect.
Phase Three: Contract Leverage Sprint (High-Risk Phase) Special Opportunity: - The American banking crisis led to a single-day increase of over 30% in BTC, indicating market FOMO sentiment - Use 50% of funds (10,000 U) to engage in BTC perpetual contracts: - Open a 3x long position at $28,000, close at $35,000 (+75%) - When it dips to $33,000, go long 5x, take profit at $42,000 (+135%) - At the same time, ambush the early liquidity pool of Meme coin PEPE to achieve 8x returns.
Result: After 3 months, the account balance reached 53,000 U, with the last week's earnings accounting for 60% of the total.
Key Experience Summary :
1. β returns > α returns: 80% of profits come from the rise of BTC/ETH, choosing the right market cycle is more important than selecting coins.
2. Information asymmetry monetization: SUI new investment returns are the first stepping stone for capital growth.
3. Extreme market leverage: Only use contracts when there is a clear trend in the market, and do not exceed 5 times.
4. Withdrawal Discipline: Withdraw 30% to lock in profits immediately after reaching 50,000 U.
#PI# #BTC# #ETH#