The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is nearly 80%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is over 70%.

[Block Rhythm] On June 27, according to the data platform: The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in July is 79.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 8.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 73.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 18.5%.

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