📈 TRUMP/USDT short-term Technical Analysis

📊 Market Overview

• Current price: approximately 13.98 USDT
• 24-hour change: -2.02%
• Recently, there has been significant volatility, with signs of a short-term rise followed by a drop.

📈 Technical Analysis

1. Trend Indicator

• Bollinger Bands (20,2)

  • Daily: The price is oscillating between the upper band (16.19) and the middle band (12.50), without breaking through the upper band, and short-term momentum is weakening.
  • 4 hours: The price is oscillating below the upper band (15.55), close to the middle band (12.86), with convergence in volatility.
  • 1 Hour: Price close to the middle band (14.28), volatility tends to stabilize.
  • Formula: Middle Band = 20-period SMA, Upper Band = Middle Band + 2 times Standard Deviation, Lower Band = Middle Band - 2 times Standard Deviation
  • Current signal: ↔️ Consolidation with fluctuations, lacking directional breakthroughs in the short term.

• MACD (12,26,9)

  • Daily: The MACD line (0.694) is slightly above the signal line (0.631), the red bars are shortening, and momentum is weakening.
  • 4 hours: The MACD line (0.726) is slightly above the signal line (0.622), the red bar is shortening, and momentum is weakening.
  • 1 hour: The MACD line (0.088) is below the signal line (0.195), green bars appear, short-term is weak.
  • Formula: MACD=EMA(12)-EMA(26), Signal Line=9-period EMA of MACD
  • Current signal: ↔️ Daily and 4-hour momentum weakening, 1-hour short-term biased bearish.

• Moving Average System (MA7/25/99)

• The price is oscillating near the short to medium-term moving averages, and the trend is unclear.

2. Momentum Indicator

• RSI (14)

  • Daily: 61.12, 4-hour: 66.00, 1-hour: 48.53
  • Formula: RSI=100-(100/(1+RS)), RS=Average Gain/Average Loss
  • Current signal: ↔️ Daily and 4-hour are in the mid-high range but not overbought, 1-hour has dropped to neutral, short-term momentum is weakening.

• KDJ (9,3,3)

  • Daily: K=59.80, D=45.33, J=88.75, the J value has retreated from a high position, and momentum is weakening.
  • 4 hours: K=68.42, D=67.77, J=28.16, J value has significantly dropped, short-term adjustment.
  • 1 hour: K=20.84, D=21.70, J=19.12, all at low levels, short-term rebound demand.
  • Current signal: ↔️ Daily and 4-hour momentum weakening, 1-hour oversold with rebound expectations.

3. Trading Volume

• The daily and 4-hour trading volumes have both shrunk, with main funds remaining cautious, and there is a lack of sustained momentum in the short term.

🎯 Short-term trading advice

• Operation Suggestion: Short-term advice is to "watch/HOLD", avoid chasing highs, and consider entering after waiting for a pullback to support or indicator recovery.
• Confidence Level: Moderate (55%), due to weakened momentum and significant fluctuations.
• Entry Strategy:
  • Wait for the price to pull back to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands or near MA25 (around 12.5-13.0 USDT), and when the 1-hour KDJ and RSI show oversold rebound signals, you can make a small position to buy on the dip.
  • If the volume breaks through the upper band of 15.5 USDT, a small position can be taken to chase the rise, but strict stop-loss is required.
• Take Profit and Stop Loss:
  • Take Profit: 14.8/15.5 USDT staggered take profit
  • Stop Loss: Stop loss if it drops below 12.5 USDT
• Position Suggestion: No more than 15% of total funds, build positions in batches, avoid heavy positions chasing highs.