Bitcoin volatility at historical dips: "It may be a harbinger of the approaching storm" - Bitcoin news - Uzmancoin - Crypto and Blockchain

As Bitcoin's volatility hovers at historically low levels, Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital has warned investors with the message "don't be fooled by the silence."

In the latest assessment by QCP Capital analysts, it was emphasized that low volatility may be temporary. The report stated that "volatility may be on vacation during the summer, but significant upward explosions could be seen in the third and fourth quarters of the year." It was noted that the markets are currently pricing in an ideal economic environment where tariffs are postponed, the Fed will lower interest rates, and fiscal deficits will continue, referred to as the (Goldilocks scenario).

The report also noted that most whales, early-stage investors, and miners are on the sidelines, yet Bitcoin's price is hovering just 2-3% below its all-time high. It was stated that this price stability is supported by regular purchases from ETFs and publicly traded companies.

On the other hand, analysts noting that altcoins are trading at historically low levels compared to Bitcoin stated that investors' interest remains focused on Bitcoin. It was particularly noted that institutional investors are deepening BTC's market dominance by increasing their Bitcoin investments.

One of the other factors increasing uncertainty in the markets is U.S. President Donald Trump's moves in commercial diplomacy. The Trump administration is reported to potentially implement new tariffs of 25% on countries such as Japan and South Korea starting August 1. Trump's "TACO" (Tariffs Are Coming… Or not – Tariffs Are Coming… Or Not) approach continues to create uncertainty for the markets.

QCP Capital indicates that if these tariffs come into effect, global economic growth could be harmed and a serious testing process for risky assets could begin. It also warns that as the U.S. debt ceiling deadline at the end of August (X-date) approaches, liquidity in the markets will continue to tighten, which could increase volatility.

There are three critical events expected to be decisive in the markets in the second half of the year: the quarterly Treasury auction announcements at the end of July, the potential implementation of new tariffs at the beginning of August, and the Jackson Hole meeting between August 21-23.

Analysts remind investors not to overlook the possibility of "calm before the storm" during these days when volatility is low.

Published: July 8, 2025 23:46