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⭐ July crypto market analysis
As the July trading window approaches, the crypto market is at a critical turning point. Technical analysis shows
Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to start a new upward cycle, aiming for a target price of 130,000 dollars.
Ethereum (ETH) is expected to break through the fluctuating range and launch an attack towards the high of $3,100, driven by continuous empowerment from ecological applications.
Dogecoin (DOGE) is expected to rise to a target of $0.21 under the spotlight.
The vigorous development of the Solana ecosystem injects strong momentum into SOL, with a short-ter

Market Trend Analysis
Based on model structure and volume analysis, BTC may dip to around 97500 points in the short term, ETH is targeting around 2100 points, and SOL is also expected to reach the 100 point mark. Each pullback is a good opportunity to build momentum, and we remain confident in the continuation of the bull market in 2025, taking advantage of the low-position layout window and waiting for value to rise.

⭐On-chain data shows that in the past 30 days, the market capitalization of USDT has achieved a strong rise, with an increase surpassing 5 billion USD.
As of now, the overall size of the stablecoin market has risen to approximately 250.2 billion USD, with USDT maintaining its leading position at over 153.1 billion USD in market capitalization, accounting for about 61.2% of the market share, continuously consolidating its dominant advantage in the stablecoin sector.

⭐Bitcoin enters a consolidation period after reaching a new high, how will the market move in the future?
Bitcoin has rebounded strongly by over 50% after a 32% drop from its historical high in January, reaching a new high of $111,880, and is currently entering a healthy consolidation period. The substantial inflow of funds into ETFs, the active spot market, and the growth in net realized market capitalization are driving structural buying, with its trading logic aligning more with global liquidity rather than retail speculation.
The key now is whether we can hold the short-term holding cost l

⭐The concerns behind Bitcoin's breakthrough of $110,000
Although the Bitcoin trading price successfully broke through the $110,000 mark, most holders are in a profitable state, but the market sentiment is not as hot as the price trend.
According to the latest data released by the on-chain analysis platform on X, the current funding rate for Bitcoin is only 0.0079%, far below the neutral level, showing a continued sluggish trend.
Moreover, the overall atmosphere in the cryptocurrency market is relatively cold. Among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, the funding rates are ge

⭐ The US stablecoin regulation bill is expected to pass next week.
Recently, the U.S. cryptocurrency sector has seen significant progress, with the "Stablecoin National Innovation Guidance and Establishment Act (GENIUS Act)" expected to be debated and voted on in the Senate next week. Supporters of the bill have high hopes for it, stating that once passed, it will leave a bold mark in the history of cryptocurrency regulation, signaling the establishment of the first regulatory framework for growth-promoting payment stablecoins in the United States.
Stablecoins, as an important component of the

⭐Powell and "terrifying data" make their appearance together, tonight the financial markets will welcome the "king bomb" moment!
Tonight at 20:30, the market is about to face a storm - the highly anticipated "terrifying data" of the US retail sales figures and the Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released. These two sets of data have always been a key window into the health of the US economy, and they will directly influence the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts, becoming a decisive factor in the tug-of-war between gold, bitcoin, and the US dollar.
Jus

100,000 BTC have been withdrawn from the exchange in the past three weeks.
Data disclosed by platform X shows that in the past three weeks, up to 100,000 BTC have been continuously withdrawn from cryptocurrency exchanges. This significant capital movement has raised market concerns about the subsequent supply and demand pattern of Bitcoin and price trends. With May 19 approaching, history may not simply repeat itself, but black swan events could occur at any time. The cycle structure and momentum indicate that the bull market seems to be nearing its end.

⭐ Major news on China-U.S. trade and economic relations released!
The China-US Geneva economic and trade talks announced a significant joint statement. Global risk assets rose sharply in response, with most European stock indices gaining nearly 2%, the FTSE China A50 Index futures rising by 1.94%, Hong Kong stocks rebounding rapidly, and Bitcoin breaking through $105,000. The US dollar index reached a high of 101.56, while non-US currencies fell across the board; safe-haven spot gold plunged sharply, briefly losing the $3,220 mark. The yield on US 10-year Treasury bonds climbed to a one-month

⭐Ethereum rises, is encryption VC heading towards the end?
The strong rise of Ethereum is bringing a disruptive impact to the encryption VC (venture capital institutions), and some even assert that the "death of encryption VC" is on the countdown.
In the development process of the encryption field, many crypto VCs have successfully obtained institutional capital injection simply by being in the "right place" at the "right time." However, most of them lack true vision and creativity, losing direction on their development path.
In the new cryptocurrency ecosystem dominated by Ethereum, maintaini

⭐Bitcoin volatility falls to 2.02%, the market enters a "cooling period"
On-chain data shows that Bitcoin's 30-day volatility has decreased for two consecutive days, with the latest value reported at 2.02%, returning to the volatility level seen at the end of February 2025. Generally, high volatility is often accompanied by a surge in speculative trading and retail investors' fear of missing out (FOMO), while the current sustained decline in volatility may indicate that short-term speculative funds are withdrawing, leading the market into a phase of consolidation and rational correction.

It

⭐ The global trade situation has eased, driving Bitcoin to break through 100,000 US dollars.
Against the backdrop of ongoing fluctuations in the global economic landscape, the cryptocurrency market has once again become the focus. On May 8, local time, as U.S. President Trump announced a new trade agreement between the U.S. and the U.K. at the White House, Bitcoin prices surged, successfully breaking through the 100,000 USD mark for the first time since February of this year, instantly igniting market sentiment.
According to the documents released by the White House, in this agreement, the Uni

⭐The Federal Reserve (FED) dual mandate is at odds.
The Federal Reserve is now in a state of near desperation, as its dual mission of full employment and stable prices is showing a trend in opposite directions. Currently, the uncertainty of U.S. government policies is astonishingly high, and this will also be a key factor in determining the timing and magnitude of related changes.
Trump's tough measures on tariffs have further exacerbated the situation for The Federal Reserve (FED). The U.S. government's policies of imposing tariffs abroad, expelling immigrants, and cutting taxes will drive up

Futu Securities will soon support USDT/USDC deposit.
On May 7, it was reported that Futu Securities is conducting a gray test for the cryptocurrency deposit function, with an official announcement expected within this week. The first phase will support deposits of USDT and USDC stablecoins, allowing users to directly transfer their crypto assets to their existing securities accounts and seamlessly convert to USD to participate in investments in US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and Japanese stocks.
The current beta version has basic functionalities, only adding an independent section for digital as

⭐Bitcoin's rise is encountering resistance and will fall back to around 86000 points.
Data shows that over the past month, Bitcoin has surged 25% due to the continuous inflow of ETF funds and strong institutional spot buying. However, a series of recent new signals have cast a shadow over this rally. Signs such as a decrease in premium and weak funding rates all suggest that the upward momentum of Bitcoin may be gradually waning.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin does indeed have some upward potential. However, it should not be overlooked that macro-level pressures are continuously accumul

⭐The U.S. Department of the Treasury released a heavyweight report today: exploring the path of incorporating Bitcoin into strategic reserves.
The U.S. Treasury will release a highly anticipated report today, focusing on how to incorporate seized Bitcoin into strategic reserves. The release of this report signals a key step in the U.S. strategic positioning in the cryptocurrency space.
In January 2025, Trump signed an executive order on digital assets and established a cryptocurrency task force, led by AI and cryptocurrency commissioner David Sacks, with members including key department heads

⭐Can Bitcoin disrupt the market position of gold?
The latest data research reveals the subtle dynamics between Bitcoin and gold, and a quiet battle seems to be unfolding over the status of "digital gold" versus traditional safe-haven assets. Analysis indicates that Bitcoin could soon surpass gold and dominate the market.
From the key indicator of risk-adjusted returns, the Sharpe ratio, the two show a significant negative correlation. Currently, Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio is -0.40, while gold's Sharpe ratio has reached 1.33. Although gold's current Sharpe ratio performs better, there is a view tha

⭐Expectations for interest rate cuts are rising, and BTC is expected to soar to 110,000 USD.
A series of economic data from the United States announced on May 1 sent a strong signal to the market. The data shows that the momentum of U.S. economic growth has significantly slowed, and inflationary pressures continue to ease, which has sharply increased market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The cryptocurrency market has also entered a period of fluctuation, waiting for a key breaking point.
The employment market has first released signs of weakness, and the ADP non-fa

⭐Mastercard builds a new ecosystem for global stablecoin payments
Payment giant Mastercard officially announced the launch of a "comprehensive" stablecoin payment solution, aiming to help 150 million merchants worldwide accept stablecoin payments and promote the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency payments.
To achieve this goal, Mastercard will collaborate closely with payment processor Nuvei, as well as stablecoin issuers Circle and Paxos, to jointly create a seamless payment ecosystem. All parties will fully leverage their respective strengths, working from multiple dimensions such as tech