Analyst to XRP Holders: This Is Bad, Watch Out

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Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto issued a cautionary message to XRP Holders.

In a post on X, He wrote, “THIS IS BAD #XRP!!!!!!!!! Watch Out.” He captioned a detailed video in which he analyzed XRP’s market position using cycle theory and technical indicators.

According to the analyst, while the outlook could still allow for an explosive upside in the short term, the signals suggest that XRP might be approaching the late stage of its current bull cycle.

Halving Cycle Framework Applied to XRP

He referenced XRP’s behavior during the 2017 bull run and again in 2020, pointing out that the current 2025 market phase mirrors these historical structures.

The analyst stressed that this did not mean the market could not extend or behave differently this time, but he emphasized that previous cycles suggest XRP may be nearing the “final surge” phase. He described this period as one where a strong upward movement occurs before a subsequent correction or bear market sets in.

Holder Profitability and Market Risk

Steph Is Crypto is also focused on the profitability of XRP holders as an important metric. He highlighted that over 90 percent of XRP investors are currently sitting in profit, which is historically significant.

In his analysis, similar conditions were observed in 2018 and 2021, both of which were followed by substantial corrections that marked the end of cycle peaks. He pointed to this metric as further evidence that XRP is poised to reach the end stage of the current bullish run.

While he acknowledged that history may not repeat exactly, he cautioned that the convergence of profitability levels and cycle theory made the situation noteworthy. He framed this data as a signal for investors to be prepared rather than a recommendation to sell.

Technical Indicators and the RSI Trend Line

Another critical component of his analysis was the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on XRP’s monthly chart. Steph Is Crypto pointed out a multi-year downward trend line that has remained since 2017.

Each time XRP’s RSI has touched this line, it has coincided with either a sharp correction or the start of a bear market, such as what occurred in 2018. He noted that in January 2025, XRP touched this trend line once again, leading to a correction of more than 50%. According to him, the RSI now appears to be on course to retest the same trend line, which could allow for one more upward move before a potential downturn.

Steph Is Crypto concluded his analysis by stressing the importance of awareness and preparedness among investors. While the data points and historical comparisons suggest that XRP may be nearing the final phase of its current bull cycle, he left open the possibility that the market could behave differently this time.

He reiterated that the signals he presented were not predictions of immediate decline but rather an attempt to highlight patterns and risks that have consistently influenced XRP’s past performance.

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