The Trump family's encryption project World Liberty Financial (WLFI) announced that it will open the WLFI Token for the first claim and trading on September 1. Early supporters of this claim (0.015 and 0.05 USD rounds) can only unlock 20%, while the remaining 80% of the unlocking plan will be decided by the community through governance voting; the tokens of the founding team, advisors, and partners will not be unlocked when they go live.
After the clear launch date and unlocking plan of the WLFI Token were announced, major JYS also announced the launch of pre-market trading for the WLFI/USDT perpetual contract, pricing WLFI in advance. Participants in the first and second rounds of public offerings have also achieved an expected return of over 14 times.
The first situation that may arise after WLFI goes live: participants rush to hedge, and the opening price plummets.
I feel that WLFI is already too expensive now, and that's my direct feeling after seeing the valuation. WLFI's contract price before a certain offer surged directly to $0.55, and the fully diluted valuation of WLFI reached as high as $55 billion, surpassing TRX and DOGE, directly entering the 8th position in the cryptocurrency market capitalization. Even if the current price falls back to around $0.26, the fully diluted valuation of $26 billion still surpasses recent popular tokens like LINK and HYPE.
If the current price is maintained at launch, early investors (participants in the first and second public sales) will achieve returns of over 14 times. Even if only 20% is unlocked, considerable returns have already been realized, and there is a significant possibility of market pressure after WLFI goes live.
Based on this analysis, in the face of the selling pressure from early investors, the likelihood of project funds actively absorbing the selling pressure when WLFI goes live is extremely low, and WLFI is likely to plummet during the first wave of its launch. Moreover, WLFI has had a long fermentation period from its inception last year to its upcoming launch; the periodic favorable factors have basically run out, and the market may have fully priced WLFI in the pre-market contracts. Ordinary investors who did not participate in the public offering will have costs far greater than those of early investors and will also be unwilling to take over the initially unlocked Tokens.
At the same time, many players believe that although the WLFI team's and institutions' tokens are not unlocked, they may have already profited through pre-market contract hedging. This is because, compared to retail investors, project parties/institutions with larger volumes and higher fault tolerance are more capable of conducting contract hedging. According to public information, the Trump family has earned $57.35 million from the sale of WLFI tokens alone. If the team's and partners' tokens are not unlocked initially, the possibility of profiting through pre-market contract hedging is very high. This also means that after WLFI goes live, for a period of time, the team and its market makers may not actively raise the price of WLFI.
The second possible scenario after WLFI goes live: WLFI will replicate the script from the early launch of Trump.
In the one or two days before WLFI goes live, WLFI may also see a significant increase due to short squeezes, and after going live, WLFI is likely to follow a script similar to Trump. Although WLFI's fully diluted valuation has reached hundreds of billions of dollars, the actual circulating market value is not high. A total of 25 billion tokens were sold in the first and second rounds of public offerings, but only 5 billion tokens will be in circulation during this initial unlock, with the remaining public offering token unlock plan pending community voting. Meanwhile, the tokens of the founding team, advisors, and partners will not be unlocked at the time of launch.
This means that if calculated at the current $0.26, the circulating market value of WLFI upon launch would be $1.3 billion, which is indeed an undervaluation for a project of WLFI's caliber. In fact, this is similar to the script of TRUMP during its early launch; TRUMP has a total supply of 1 billion coins, and at the beginning of its launch, its circulating supply was 200 million coins, which led to the market perceiving the token backed by President Trump as undervalued, even though TRUMP's market value rapidly reached $10 billion that day once players realized the token structure.
WLFI also has the endorsement of Trump, and on the day WLFI officially goes live, it is highly likely that Trump will congratulate WLFI or make various "shouting" statements on social media, and the ambiguous relationship with the president will also bring more hype to WLFI. Therefore, the price of WLFI may continue to rise at launch. The Trump family understands the principle that "pumping is the best marketing," especially since WLFI is not just a pure Meme coin; it also has businesses like USD1 stablecoin. Only by pushing up the price of WLFI can they convert the traffic from encryption finance into a substantial ecological driving force.
For this super star coin launch, it's like a contract with automatic leverage. My suggestion is that if you are a novice, it's better to stay away. If you are an experienced trader familiar with market changes, you can enter and observe for opportunities. I will also be monitoring the market at that time, and if there is an opportunity, I will communicate with everyone immediately in the updates. Follow and subscribe to me for high-quality cryptocurrency news and wealth codes every day.
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